How Doctoral Students with Low GRE Scores Succeed: A Grounded Theory Study (2024)

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The GRE Over the Entire Range of Scores Lacks Predictive Ability for PhD Outcomes In the Biomedical Sciences

2018 •

Linda Sealy

The association between GRE scores and academic success in graduate programs is currently of national interest. GRE scores are often assumed to be predictive of student success in graduate school. However, we found no such association in admission data from Vanderbilt’s Initiative for Maximizing Student Diversity (IMSD), which recruited historically underrepresented students for graduate study in the biomedical sciences at Vanderbilt University spanning a wide range of GRE scores. This study avoids the typical biases of most GRE investigations of performance where only high-achievers on the GRE were admitted. GRE scores, while collected at admission, were not used or consulted for admission decisions and comprise the full range of percentiles, from 1% to 91%. We report on the 29 students recruited to the Vanderbilt IMSD from 2007-2011 who have completed the program at this date. While the data set is not large, the predictive trends between GRE and long-term graduate outcomes (publi...

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An Impolite View of the Graduate Record Examination: Some Practical Reasons Why Most Studies Find This Test Has Low Predictive Validity

Kenneth Oldfield

Most research has shown the graduate record examination does not forecast academic achievement very well. Past explanations for this outcome have identified methodological and procedural shortcomings associated with the test's administration. For example, while some studies have shown a low correlation between GRE scores and graduate grade point average, this research is faulted because admission committee screening standards have already eliminated many low GRE students from consideration. The present project propounds several, more practical reasons for the GRE's predictive shortcomings. The paper argues the test's low predictive validity derives mostly from its (the GRE's) inability to capture the true nature of graduate study.

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Deep Blue (University of Michigan)

Discontinuation of the GRE at the University of Michigan

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Ethriam Brammer

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Testing the Validity of GRE Scores on Predicting Graduate Performance for National and International Engineering Students

Kurt Geisinger

Numerous research studies have examined the validity of GRE scores in predicting graduate success, however, some limitations still exist. This study targeted graduate engineering programs and investigated the validity of GRE scores in predicting graduate engineering GPA (GGPA). In addition, the differences in the validity of GRE scores between American and international students and between masters’ and doctoral students were compared. The GRE’s incremental predictive ability over undergraduate GPA (UGPA) and TOEFL scores was examined. Data were obtained from 1083 students from the engineering programs in a large, comprehensive midwestern university. Results indicated that GRE was useful in forecasting GGPA of graduate engineering students. The GRE scores explained more criterion variance for American students than for international students, but statistically significant differences were only found when GRE-Quantitative predicted GGPA. The GRE-Verbal and GRE-Quantitative scores had...

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Deniz Ones

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PLOS ONE

Can the GRE predict valued outcomes? Dropout and writing skill

Brent Bridgeman

Graduate school programs that are considering dropping the GRE as an admissions tool often focus on claims that the test is biased and does not predict valued outcomes. This paper addresses the bias issue and provides evidence related to the prediction of valued outcomes. Two studies are included. The first study used data from chemistry (N = 315) and computer engineering (N = 389) programs from a flagship state university and an Ivy League university to demonstrate the ability of the GRE to predict dropout. Dropout prediction for the chemistry programs was both statistically and practically significant for the GRE quantitative (GRE-Q) scores, but not for the verbal or analytical writing scores. In the computer engineering programs, significant dropout prediction by GRE-Q was evident only for domestic students. In the second study, GRE Analytical Writing scores for 217 students were related to writing produced as part of graduate school coursework and relationships were noted that w...

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The Predictive Validity of the Graduate Record Examination: A dialectic examination of findings

Stephen Casmar

Assessment of the Predictive Validity of graduate school success vs. GRE success.

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Examining the Validity of the GRE General Test Scores and Undergraduate GPA for Predicting Success in Graduate School at a Large Racially and Ethnically Diverse Public University in Southeast Florida

Myung Hyun

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International Education Journal

Relationship between entry qualifications and performance in graduate education

2006 •

Ahmad Faisal

It is generally accepted that the undergraduate cumulative point average (UCPA) is associated with graduate performance of the same discipline. Less known, however, is how good the UCPA at predicting graduate performance in a different discipline. This paper discusses a study ...

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The Political and Economic Reasons the Graduate Record Examination Persists Despite Its Generally Low Predictive Validity

Kenneth Oldfield

Most studies find the GRE (Graduate Record Examination) is, at best, a weak predictor of academic achievement. Still the test is widely used to make significant decisions concerning the distribution of educational resources, such as determining who gets into which graduate school programs and/or who receives financial assistance. The present study suggests GRE endures despite of its low predictive validity because it meets the political and economic needs of certain academic and business interests. The analysis concludes there is little incentive for universities to either drop or deemphasize the exam despite its predictive shortcomings. Therefore, the GRE will remain integral to academic screening.

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How Doctoral Students with Low GRE Scores Succeed: A Grounded Theory Study (2024)

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